Forum Settings
       
Reply To Thread

Omnibus Politics Thread: Campaign 2016 EditionFollow

#628 Jan 27 2016 at 2:39 PM Rating: Excellent
Nexa
*****
12,065 posts
No. He's embraced by small percentage (about 25%) of those who answer a pollsters call and say they plan to vote in the GOP primary. That's not necessarily representative of conservatives, much less the "conservative party" (by which I assume you mean the GOP). It would be interesting to see if the ratio of people answering poll calls that identify as intending to vote in the GOP primary is relatively higher in this cycle than in past ones. Which would suggest that a good portion of Trumps polling numbers are coming from some combination of people who don't normally vote GOP because their candidates aren't sufficiently racist/bigoted/combovered for them, people who don't normally pay attention to primaries anyway, but this Trump fellow seems to be in the news all the time and they've heard of him from his TV show, and people who normally vote DEM, but see that there's no real competition there and think it's really really funny to push Trump up in the polls and try to mess with the GOP (and help their own parties chances).


Just to clarify, you are arguing the polls are skewed, because of how well that's worked for you in the past. Is that correct?

Edit: "Nexa" I'm supposed to put that if I use her laptop and aren't paying attention, right?

Nexa.

Edited, Jan 27th 2016 3:40pm by Nexa
____________________________
“It has always been the prerogative of children and half-wits to point out that the emperor has no clothes. But a half-wit remains a half-wit, and the emperor remains an emperor.”
― Neil Gaiman, The Sandman, Vol. 9: The Kindly Ones
#629 Jan 27 2016 at 8:42 PM Rating: Excellent
Will swallow your soul
******
29,360 posts
Well, he wouldn't be "conservative" if he had the capacity to learn from experience.
____________________________
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

#630 Jan 28 2016 at 4:21 AM Rating: Good
***
1,159 posts
Samira wrote:
Well, he wouldn't be "conservative" if he had the capacity to learn from experience.


That must be why the re-education camps never take, eh?
____________________________
Timelordwho wrote:
I'm not quite sure that scheming is an emotion.
#631 Jan 28 2016 at 8:11 AM Rating: Good
*******
50,767 posts
I think it was something along the lines that only liberals like Sarah Palin and Ted Nugent support Trump and no true Scotsman conservative actually did.


Edited, Jan 29th 2016 10:06am by lolgaxe
____________________________
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
#632 Jan 31 2016 at 4:11 PM Rating: Default
The All Knowing
Avatar
*****
10,265 posts
Time to put in your IOWA predictions.

DNC: 1. Clinton 2. Sanders
GOP: 1. Cruz 2. Trump 3. Rubio 4 Kasich 5. JEB
#633 Jan 31 2016 at 6:49 PM Rating: Excellent
Will swallow your soul
******
29,360 posts
DNC: Clinton
GOP: Trump
____________________________
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.

#634 Jan 31 2016 at 7:50 PM Rating: Default
The All Knowing
Avatar
*****
10,265 posts
I'm actually sure Trump will win, but that would be an interesting upset. With all the coverage that's going on now, it feels like that the voting is tonight.
#635 Jan 31 2016 at 8:52 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
Clinton, Sanders
Trump, Rubio, Cruz

I'm not sure I believe my lineup for the RNC side but I like it anyway. Worth noting that delegates are awarded proportionally so a 52-48 win versus a 48-52 loss is largely meaningless except for bragging rights and "momentum!" claims.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#636 Jan 31 2016 at 11:32 PM Rating: Good
Citizen's Arrest!
******
29,527 posts
#637 Feb 01 2016 at 12:00 AM Rating: Good
Avatar
****
6,543 posts
Men are evil for not giving a shit about all the things women judge each other for.
____________________________
Galkaman wrote:
Kuwoobie will die crushed under the burden of his mediocrity.

#638 Feb 01 2016 at 8:37 AM Rating: Good
*******
50,767 posts
Tumblr vs /pol/

Smiley: glare
____________________________
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
#639 Feb 01 2016 at 6:13 PM Rating: Good
Official Shrubbery Waterer
*****
14,659 posts
DEM: Sanders and Clinton basically split the vote, and Team Hillary announces another "reboot" to try to show her softer side (which makes the false assumption that she has one).

GOP: Trump > Cruz > Rubio, and somehow Rand Paul finishes better than Jeb! and whoever else is still wasting their donors' money.
____________________________
Jophiel wrote:
I managed to be both retarded and entertaining.

#640 Feb 01 2016 at 6:14 PM Rating: Default
The All Knowing
Avatar
*****
10,265 posts
Jophiel wrote:
Clinton, Sanders
Trump, Rubio, Cruz

I'm not sure I believe my lineup for the RNC side but I like it anyway. Worth noting that delegates are awarded proportionally so a 52-48 win versus a 48-52 loss is largely meaningless except for bragging rights and "momentum!" claims.
Now, that would be a nice upset If Rubio were to come in second, he would be on his way as the established candidate. However, that would oddly only make Trump stronger as he would gain the lost Cruz voters.
#641 Feb 01 2016 at 7:01 PM Rating: Decent
Encyclopedia
******
35,568 posts
Almalieque wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
Clinton, Sanders
Trump, Rubio, Cruz

I'm not sure I believe my lineup for the RNC side but I like it anyway. Worth noting that delegates are awarded proportionally so a 52-48 win versus a 48-52 loss is largely meaningless except for bragging rights and "momentum!" claims.
Now, that would be a nice upset If Rubio were to come in second, he would be on his way as the established candidate. However, that would oddly only make Trump stronger as he would gain the lost Cruz voters.


I doubt very many Cruz voters would shift to Trump. He's mostly got the evangelical and angry patriot crowd supporting him, neither of which really fit with Trump. Well, maybe some of the latter, but only some. You really can't paint all these different groups with the same brush. Rand Paul supporters are probably the most likely to move to Trump if/when he drops out. Cruz supporters would most likely shift to some combination of Rubio, Bush, and Christie.
____________________________
King Nobby wrote:
More words please
#642 Feb 01 2016 at 8:14 PM Rating: Good
Official Shrubbery Waterer
*****
14,659 posts
gbaji wrote:
Rand Paul supporters are probably the most likely to move to Trump if/when he drops out.

Nothing says "libertarian" like an old-money, eminent-domain-abusing crony capitalist!
____________________________
Jophiel wrote:
I managed to be both retarded and entertaining.

#643 Feb 01 2016 at 8:57 PM Rating: Good
Repressed Memories
******
21,027 posts
gbaji wrote:
I doubt very many Cruz voters would shift to Trump. He's mostly got the evangelical and angry patriot crowd supporting him, neither of which really fit with Trump.

Last I knew, Trump was winning a plurality of evangelicals
Demea wrote:
Nothing says "libertarian" like an old-money, eminent-domain-abusing crony capitalist!

Anecdotally, all of the Ron Paul supporters I've known have moved to Trump.

Edited, Feb 1st 2016 8:59pm by Allegory
#644 Feb 01 2016 at 9:09 PM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
Clinton and Cruz leading so far.

You can get the progress here.
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
#645 Feb 01 2016 at 10:03 PM Rating: Good
GBATE!! Never saw it coming
Avatar
****
9,957 posts
OK, seriously. Please tell me how Ted Cruz can even run. Born in Canada to an Cuban and an American. How is he eligible?
____________________________
remorajunbao wrote:
One day I'm going to fly to Canada and open the curtains in your office.

#646 Feb 01 2016 at 11:36 PM Rating: Good
Citizen's Arrest!
******
29,527 posts
Friar Bijou wrote:
OK, seriously. Please tell me how Ted Cruz can even run. Born in Canada to an Cuban and an American. How is he eligible?

OMG BIRTHER. Smiley: laugh

Edit: Also, this was pretty funny.

Edited, Feb 1st 2016 10:41pm by Poldaran
#648 Feb 02 2016 at 12:13 AM Rating: Good
Avatar
*****
13,240 posts
693 SDE's to 691, translates to 28 to 21 Delegates.

To be fair, I guess it's slightly better than winner take all.

Edited, Feb 2nd 2016 1:15am by Timelordwho
____________________________
Just as Planned.
#650 Feb 02 2016 at 12:48 AM Rating: Good
Avatar
*****
13,240 posts
Sorry Jeb, they just don't like you.
____________________________
Just as Planned.
#651 Feb 02 2016 at 8:15 AM Rating: Excellent
Liberal Conspiracy
*******
TILT
Timelordwho wrote:
693 SDE's to 691, translates to 28 to 21 Delegates.

Likewise, the GOP side had Cruz getting 8 delegates and Trump & Rubio each getting 7. Not much shake-up there.
Quote:
To be fair, I guess it's slightly better than winner take all.

Clinton and Cruz disagree!
____________________________
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Reply To Thread

Colors Smileys Quote OriginalQuote Checked Help

 

Recent Visitors: 293 All times are in CST
Anonymous Guests (293)