I think it varies by state, but most are probably 60-90 days before the general election.
See, if I were considering running for President I would have already hired someone who knows the answer to that.
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In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
You are correct. I did some research and found it. He essentially has a range of 5-7 months. Plenty of time for Hillary to implode. Is that enough time for Carla in a field of 17 GOP candidates? Probably not. However we're talking about Joe "It's a big f'ing deal" Biden and B-San.
http://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election,_2016/Important_campaign_dates
http://ballotpedia.org/Presidential_election,_2016/Important_campaign_dates
Joe's already run a couple of times and did not do well. Six months is probably not enough.
Someone expressed it as, "He's seems like a nice guy, but I'm gonna vote for someone else."
Basically voters seem to put him firmly in the friend zone.
Someone expressed it as, "He's seems like a nice guy, but I'm gonna vote for someone else."
Basically voters seem to put him firmly in the friend zone.
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
Samira wrote:
Joe's already run a couple of times and did not do well. Six months is probably not enough.
Someone expressed it as, "He's seems like a nice guy, but I'm gonna vote for someone else."
Basically voters seem to put him firmly in the friend zone.
Someone expressed it as, "He's seems like a nice guy, but I'm gonna vote for someone else."
Basically voters seem to put him firmly in the friend zone.
He has a range of five to seven months to wait for someone else's well funded campaign to implode enough to run, and THEN get the resources together to get on the ballots?
Welp... ok then.
Also, he doesn't have five months when there's filing deadlines in November.
Anyway, there's no real question on whether or not late starts are a problem, it's just history:
Clinton's issues came from sinking all her resources into the early states expecting to knock Obama out early. Santorum & Gingrich's problems came from... waiting for the Romney campaign to implode.
Edited, Aug 4th 2015 5:11pm by Jophiel
Welp... ok then.
Also, he doesn't have five months when there's filing deadlines in November. Anyway, there's no real question on whether or not late starts are a problem, it's just history:
American Thinker wrote:
As recently as two weeks ago, the Gingrich campaign was apparently unable to name 40 New Hampshire supporters of his presidential campaign.
Candidates needed to file their slates of 20 delegates to the National Convention, along with 20 alternates, with the Secretary of State by November 18. The Gingrich campaign filed a partial slate of 14 delegates and 13 alternates, leaving 13 slots vacant. Among the 27 names Gingrich listed are three members of his staff.
[...]
No doubt Gingrich would be able to identify 40 committed supporters this week, in the wake of his endorsement by the New Hampshire Union Leader and riding a wave of interest in his candidacy. But the campaign's failure to do so just nine days prior to the paper's endorsement is an indicator of the extent to which the campaign is starting from scratch - and could signal a lack of basic organization.
Candidates needed to file their slates of 20 delegates to the National Convention, along with 20 alternates, with the Secretary of State by November 18. The Gingrich campaign filed a partial slate of 14 delegates and 13 alternates, leaving 13 slots vacant. Among the 27 names Gingrich listed are three members of his staff.
[...]
No doubt Gingrich would be able to identify 40 committed supporters this week, in the wake of his endorsement by the New Hampshire Union Leader and riding a wave of interest in his candidacy. But the campaign's failure to do so just nine days prior to the paper's endorsement is an indicator of the extent to which the campaign is starting from scratch - and could signal a lack of basic organization.
US New & World Report wrote:
In Illinois, Santorum will be ineligible to compete for 10 of the state's 54 delegates when voters head to the polls on March 20. Voters in Illinois do not simply pick who they want to nominate. Instead, they directly elect delegates, and each primary ballot will contain a list of potential delegates alongside the presidential candidate they support. Presidential candidates were required to collect 600 signatures in each of Illinois's 18 congressional districts by January 7 in order to register a full slate of delegates. In four congressional districts, Santorum failed to file any signatures.
Philly.com wrote:
Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign failed to file a full slate of convention delegate candidates for Pennsylvania's April 22 primary.
This despite the possibility the primary proves critical and despite Clinton owning the full-throated support of Gov. Rendell, state Democratic Party leadership, Mayor Nutter and, presumably, the organizational skill all that entails.
[...]It appears Clinton came up 10 or 11 candidates short across a number of congressional districts, including two in Philadelphia.
That's close to 10 percent of the 103 delegates to be decided by voters.
This despite the possibility the primary proves critical and despite Clinton owning the full-throated support of Gov. Rendell, state Democratic Party leadership, Mayor Nutter and, presumably, the organizational skill all that entails.
[...]It appears Clinton came up 10 or 11 candidates short across a number of congressional districts, including two in Philadelphia.
That's close to 10 percent of the 103 delegates to be decided by voters.
Clinton's issues came from sinking all her resources into the early states expecting to knock Obama out early. Santorum & Gingrich's problems came from... waiting for the Romney campaign to implode.
Edited, Aug 4th 2015 5:11pm by Jophiel
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Gawker published Trump's phone number. So Trump changed his voicemail message to a campaign ad for the Gawker readers who decided to call it.
If there's a bunch of idiots for Trump to outwit, Gawker would be them.
If there's a bunch of idiots for Trump to outwit, Gawker would be them.
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
That was a crafty move, I have to admit. I'm glad he's in it for the entertainment value, never mind that he's sucking up all the air in the room on the GOP side.
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
Jophiel wrote:
He has a range of five to seven months to wait for someone else's well funded campaign to implode enough to run, and THEN get the resources together to get on the ballots?
Jophiel wrote:
Clinton's issues came from sinking all her resources into the early states expecting to knock Obama out early.
Jophiel wrote:
Santorum & Gingrich's problems came from... waiting for the Romney campaign to implode.
Your only counter would be is if Hillary were out of the picture, someone of the 4 remaining candidates would clear the field and no one else would try to take them on.
Quote:
Which only proves my point that the early states are overrated and one could come in after and get the win.
Uh, no. Clinton's issue was that she DIDN'T knock Obama out by Super Tuesday. He essentially tied her in elected delegates and then cleaned up in the caucuses afterward. Had Clinton had a commanding lead by Feb 6th, it would have been a much different story.
Quote:
Gingrich is not a good example as he was able to revive his campaign during his debate performance and win South Carolina
That has nothing remotely to do with what I quoted.
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Samira wrote:
That was a crafty move, I have to admit. I'm glad he's in it for the entertainment value, never mind that he's sucking up all the air in the room on the GOP side.
I see it as one of the features.
Just as Planned.
Jophiel wrote:
Uh, no. Clinton's issue was that she DIDN'T knock Obama out by Super Tuesday. He essentially tied her in elected delegates and then cleaned up in the caucuses afterward. Had Clinton had a commanding lead by Feb 6th, it would have been a much different story.
All of this is irrelevant when you're talking about one of the longest and closest primaries with HRC having the popular vote depending on how it was counted. Again, this is a weak field. There is no "Senator Obama".
Jophiel wrote:
That has nothing remotely to do with what I quoted.
Furthermore, Sanders support is all hype. Most, if not all of his support are Warren supporters, which means if she were to jump in the race, his support would essentially go away. Nobody is saying anything negative about Sanders, so much so that the GOP is supporting him. The same group of people who criticized the POTUS for working with communist Cuba, supports a communist candidate. If it were to come down to him as the nominee, he will be attacked full force.
I don't care what poll you might see, Sanders is not going to beat Bush or Walker. There is no way the DEM party will let the GOP walk away with the presidency. If HRC were to completely fall off, I assure you the support would not be for any of the 4 remaining candidates.
Almalieque wrote:
Jophiel wrote:
Uh, no. Clinton's issue was that she DIDN'T knock Obama out by Super Tuesday. He essentially tied her in elected delegates and then cleaned up in the caucuses afterward. Had Clinton had a commanding lead by Feb 6th, it would have been a much different story.
Super Tuesday was effectively the end of the early stage of the campaign, not SC or Iowa.
Quote:
Jophiel wrote:
That has nothing remotely to do with what I quoted.
Votes you can't use if you don't have a full slate of delegates or aren't on the ballot? Brilliant.
Edited, Aug 4th 2015 7:59pm by Jophiel
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Jeez, Jophiel. Learn to quote, you n00b.
remorajunbao wrote:
One day I'm going to fly to Canada and open the curtains in your office.
Wow. I just found an index card with my itinerary for the Boson Asylum meet-up. When was that, '06?
publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
Shit, you're not still at the hotel waiting for us, are you?
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
Jophiel wrote:
Shit, you're not still at the hotel waiting for us, are you?
I remember that first night, I tried calling DSD after all the bars closed down by 2am(??) and getting yelled at.publiusvarus wrote:
we all know liberals are well adjusted american citizens who only want what's best for society. While conservatives are evil money grubbing scum who only want to sh*t on the little man and rob the world of its resources.
Samira wrote:
I think it varies by state, but most are probably 60-90 days before the general election.
See, if I were considering running for President I would have already hired someone who knows the answer to that.
See, if I were considering running for President I would have already hired someone who knows the answer to that.
You aren't running? I suppose this means you don't need a secretary of offence.
Timelordwho wrote:
I'm not quite sure that scheming is an emotion.
Question: If HRC were to fall out of the race for whatever reason early next year, are you suggesting that one of the 4 remaining candidates would clear the field with no real opposition?
You're referring to an undisclosed amount of time that varies to support your argument. If an individual is voting for you, then the assumption is that you're on the ballot. Does it take 6 months to gather delegates if the only competition is Sanders?
Jophiel wrote:
Super Tuesday was effectively the end of the early stage of the campaign, not SC or Iowa.
Jophiel wrote:
Votes you can't use if you don't have a full slate of delegates or aren't on the ballot? Brilliant.
You're referring to an undisclosed amount of time that varies to support your argument. If an individual is voting for you, then the assumption is that you're on the ballot. Does it take 6 months to gather delegates if the only competition is Sanders?
Must be exceptionally boring at Joph's office lately.
Donate. One day it could be your family.
An invasion of armies can be resisted, but not an idea whose time has come. Victor Hugo
An invasion of armies can be resisted, but not an idea whose time has come. Victor Hugo
You know the cycle is boring when even Fox News is trying to pump up the Democratic candidates.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
Almalieque wrote:
Question: If HRC were to fall out of the race for whatever reason early next year, are you suggesting that one of the 4 remaining candidates would clear the field with no real opposition?
Are there four remaining candidates? I only know of Sanders and O"Malley and O'Malley is polling at something like 1%. Oh, wait, what's his face from Virginia is running. Webb. So Webb with 1% and O'Malley with 1%.
Yes, if Clinton was to be eaten by a tiger in January, Sanders would have a huge advantage given that he's been ramping up his campaign with all the (unexpected) support he's been seeing since entering.
Quote:
Does it take 6 months to gather delegates if the only competition is Sanders?
That's like asking if you can race your Geo Metro across country faster if the Ferrari crashes and your only competition left is a Mustang. Driving against the Mustang doesn't make your Metro move any faster, the problem is that you need an upgraded, better car.
Edited, Aug 5th 2015 9:19am by Jophiel
Belkira wrote:
Wow. Regular ol' Joph fan club in here.
You know, we could probably get a forum regular to the RNC debates if a poll were published that included them but not trump in the top 10. Would be pretty easy with the margin of error being what it is.
You sure you don't want to run, Samira?
You sure you don't want to run, Samira?
Just as Planned.
My research shows that if you get your hair cooked in a deep fryer while filming a safety video about cleaning said fryer you've got a pretty good shot at the candidacy.
George Carlin wrote:
I think it’s the duty of the comedian to find out where the line is drawn and cross it deliberately.
Timelordwho wrote:
You know, we could probably get a forum regular to the RNC debates if a poll were published that included them but not trump in the top 10. Would be pretty easy with the margin of error being what it is.
You sure you don't want to run, Samira?
You sure you don't want to run, Samira?
I'd rather run as a Democrat, out-crazying the likes of Trump and hopefully drawing the full ire of the pack. Kavekkk, want to be my campaign manager? We can make a big scandal out of your non-citizen status.
In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
I can do about 15 minutes of leg work for you here in New York. Provided, of course, that there's a Cabinet position in it for me.
Something I don't have to show up for, preferably, like HUD maybe. It worked for Cuomo.
Something I don't have to show up for, preferably, like HUD maybe. It worked for Cuomo.
"the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same way in any country."
Hermann Goering, April 1946.
Hermann Goering, April 1946.
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