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#1 Mar 31 2014 at 7:30 AM Rating: Good
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Sounds like a cartoon superhero.

My husband is a real sucker for reality shows. This weekend he was watching one about lottery mega-winners. These lotteries that pay out millions on a 1:175 million chance of winning are nearly all run by the states.

Best I can tell in most state lotteries the money that is taken in is doled out something like this:

40-60% - Prize money
30-40% - State Earnings (may or may not be ear-marked depending on local legislation)
5-7% - Retailers (sellers)
3-7% - Operating costs

It makes sense I guess that if you're going to encourage gambling, you might as well let the government run it to try and keep it as clean and honest as possible and to put the profits to best public use; And governments big and small all over the world offer up legal gambling in an effort to pad their own coffers.

Still, it seems manipulative. The poor sole who will never see millions is offered up a fantasy - for only a buck. I'm guessing that the largest bulk of tickets are sold to the financially challenged masses. I doubt the Walton's are sitting around the family mansion scratching tickets and picking 'lucky' numbers.

Is it a good way for the poors to spread around it's pennies?



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#2 Mar 31 2014 at 7:43 AM Rating: Good
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If they want to toss money out at a chance for more money, and fund things I might be more interested in along the way, so be it. Far worse things to throw money out on than the hillbilly retirement plan.
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#3 Mar 31 2014 at 8:51 AM Rating: Good
Georgia used it to pay for college scholarships when they first implemented it. It's since been spread more evenly around the educational pie, including Pre-K and stuff.

It's not the scratch offs, though. You can either pick your own numbers or let the machine pick for you. I let the machine pick 'em. I'm lazy.
#4 Mar 31 2014 at 10:11 AM Rating: Excellent
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Elinda wrote:
Is it a good way for the poors to spread around it's pennies?
If people want to voluntarily pay more in taxes I have very little objection to it.
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#5 Mar 31 2014 at 10:56 AM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:
Still, it seems manipulative. The poor sole who will never see millions is offered up a fantasy - for only a buck. I'm guessing that the largest bulk of tickets are sold to the financially challenged masses. I doubt the Walton's are sitting around the family mansion scratching tickets and picking 'lucky' numbers.
There's no way you can stop people from gambling, may as well use the money earned through that to fund the state government and use it for something that benefits the people who bought the lottery tickets.
#6 Mar 31 2014 at 11:11 AM Rating: Good
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His Excellency Aethien wrote:
Elinda wrote:
Still, it seems manipulative. The poor sole who will never see millions is offered up a fantasy - for only a buck. I'm guessing that the largest bulk of tickets are sold to the financially challenged masses. I doubt the Walton's are sitting around the family mansion scratching tickets and picking 'lucky' numbers.
There's no way you can stop people from gambling, may as well use the money earned through that to fund the state government and use it for something that benefits the people who bought the lottery tickets.

Shouldn't governments be funded 'equitably' through things like taxation though?

If people are going to do it anyways, lets just tax the bejeebies out of it and earmark those taxes for gambling cessation programs.

Also:

If the state is selling the tickets, will the state naturally be biased towards selling more tickets. In fact aren't the states now advertising their lotteries?

Does funding your government through lottery earnings inhibit income mobility (excepting for that one in a billion winner), while also lessening the tax burden on the wealthy?

Lastly, and most obviously running the lottery the state is condoning gambling.

Maybe I watched too much Hunger Games this weekend. Smiley: tongue

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#7 Mar 31 2014 at 1:33 PM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:
In fact aren't the states now advertising their lotteries?
Now? They've been advertising as long as I can remember.
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#8 Mar 31 2014 at 1:56 PM Rating: Excellent
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Elinda wrote:
Still, it seems manipulative. The poor sole who will never see millions is offered up a fantasy - for only a buck.
I buy it for the fantasy. If I'm having a bad day, I can spend a few minutes thinking about how much better things will be when I win the lottery.

Considering I'd probably waste the money on a candy bar or something anyway, it's really probably better in the long run.
#9 Mar 31 2014 at 3:32 PM Rating: Decent
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His Excellency Aethien wrote:
Elinda wrote:
Still, it seems manipulative. The poor sole who will never see millions is offered up a fantasy - for only a buck. I'm guessing that the largest bulk of tickets are sold to the financially challenged masses. I doubt the Walton's are sitting around the family mansion scratching tickets and picking 'lucky' numbers.
There's no way you can stop people from gambling, may as well use the money earned through that to fund the state government and use it for something that benefits the people who bought the lottery tickets.


The funny thing (for certain interpretations of "funny") is that state governments which allow gambling usually have very strict laws about payout rates. So slot machines may be required to pay out 90% of the money that's put into the machine, for example. My understanding is that about the lowest payout rate required for any private form of gambling is horse racing at like 80%. Most state lotteries, on the other hand, are pegged at around 50%. So we're starting with an institution in which the governments engage in behavior which would be illegal in the private sector. And I suppose you could argue that this is ok, cause governments can do that sort of thing, but then we get right back to what lotteries really are: Taxes on stupid people.


There's a part of me that dislikes the whole deal. Governments shouldn't take advantage of the people they're supposed to serve. But then on the other hand, if the alternative is "tax the rich/smart/successful more", I tend to lean the other way. I just wish that the whole "let people make stupid choices which negatively affect them" ideas were more consistently applied. It just seems counterproductive to cash in on the "stupid choices" people make and then applying so much of the money to addressing the symptoms of those same stupid choices. Maybe if we just didn't do that in the first place, people would be better off? Just a crazy thought!


Oh. Did the show discuss long term wealth effects for the lottery winners? My understanding is that an alarmingly high percentage of those who do manage to win big end out losing most or all of the money within a few years anyway (cause... stupid choices right?). Just curious if there were some numbers on that, or if it was discussed at all. It's an additional factor to the whole thing that just adds to the absurdity IMO. All these people blowing money they can't afford to spend on an incredibly slim hope of "winning", when the odds are what they win wont help them out in the long run anyway. Just makes the whole thing seem so pointless.
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#10 Mar 31 2014 at 4:01 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
Oh. Did the show discuss long term wealth effects for the lottery winners? My understanding is that an alarmingly high percentage of those who do manage to win big end out losing most or all of the money within a few years anyway (cause... stupid choices right?). Just curious if there were some numbers on that, or if it was discussed at all. It's an additional factor to the whole thing that just adds to the absurdity IMO. All these people blowing money they can't afford to spend on an incredibly slim hope of "winning", when the odds are what they win wont help them out in the long run anyway. Just makes the whole thing seem so pointless.
I don't know about America but over here if you win a significantly large price in a lottery you get a financial adviser attached to it for at least a few meetings to prevent just that.

I'm failing to find any concrete data except that winning lots of money makes people lean further to the right politically and that for one specific Dutch lottery which decides who wins based on postcode the winners (€12,500 per ticket) show no change in spending other than that their cars are on average 6 months newer than the control group. An odd side effect is that neighbors of the winners who didn't buy a ticket (but know they would have won had they bought one) show a similar buying behaviour and that neither the winners nor the losers seem to be any more or less happy after 6 months.
#11 Mar 31 2014 at 4:13 PM Rating: Excellent
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His Excellency Aethien wrote:
I don't know about America but over here if you win a significantly large price in a lottery you get a financial adviser attached to it for at least a few meetings to prevent just that.
That's against freedom.

We just publish your name in the paper and the "financial advisers" tend to find you pretty quickly.
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#12 Mar 31 2014 at 4:18 PM Rating: Decent
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His Excellency Aethien wrote:
I don't know about America but over here if you win a significantly large price in a lottery you get a financial adviser attached to it for at least a few meetings to prevent just that.


Yeah. I vaguely recall reading (or hearing? Who knows) some crazy stat like 95% of individuals who win $1 Million or more in a lottery end out bankrupt within like 3-5 years. No clue how accurate that is though.

Quote:
I'm failing to find any concrete data except that winning lots of money makes people lean further to the right politically and that for one specific Dutch lottery which decides who wins based on postcode the winners (€12,500 per ticket) show no change in spending other than that their cars are on average 6 months newer than the control group. An odd side effect is that neighbors of the winners who didn't buy a ticket (but know they would have won had they bought one) show a similar buying behaviour and that neither the winners nor the losers seem to be any more or less happy after 6 months.


Doesn't surprise me. I'm pretty firmly of the opinion that there's a very different psychological effect between money that is perceived as having been "earned" versus that which is perceived as having been "won" (or even given as some form of entitlement. Yeah... politics. Sue me!). Earning something tends to garner a sense of satisfaction and accomplishment. Gaining something via other means tends not to. Kinda like why medals and trophies handed out equally to everyone more or less have zero value to the recipients.
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#13 Mar 31 2014 at 4:39 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
His Excellency Aethien wrote:
I don't know about America but over here if you win a significantly large price in a lottery you get a financial adviser attached to it for at least a few meetings to prevent just that.


Yeah. I vaguely recall reading (or hearing? Who knows) some crazy stat like 95% of individuals who win $1 Million or more in a lottery end out bankrupt within like 3-5 years. No clue how accurate that is though.
My 2 seconds of internet searching ended up bring up 70% a couple of times, but I didn't really look into it much beyond typing "how often do lotto winners go broke?" into google and clicking on a couple of links. I've also heard that the majority squander their earnings within a few years though.
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#14 Mar 31 2014 at 4:50 PM Rating: Decent
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Did a few quick searches and got a variety of results too. In any case it's a pretty high number IMO. Still puts the whole thing into the "wasting a ton of money on something that probably wont help you anyway".
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#15 Mar 31 2014 at 5:17 PM Rating: Excellent
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I believe the state strongly advises you get a financial planner and has several lined up to assist you but obviously they can't force you to take advantage or listen to them. But it's in the state's best interests that the lottery winner roster isn't a tale of broken dreams and new poverty so they'll at least go through the efforts of trying to hook you up. I'm speaking generally of course and your mileage may vary by state.

I don't have any strong opinions on the lottery itself and I'm another "play when the payout is huge and mainly just for the daydreams" player. Granted, I could daydream for free but playing maybe six times a year (if that) isn't enough of a financial hit for me to care if it's "smart" or not. I suppose it does condone some forms of gambling but that's only an issue if you don't condone the same. Personally, I don't care much about state regulated gaming either way.

Illinois has been advertising its lottery since forever in my memory. Even from the 80's and 90's I remember the "Someone's going to win, might as well be you" and "Got to play to win" sales pitches. That and the televised drawings with the ball machines.

Aethien wrote:
I'm failing to find any concrete data except that winning lots of money makes people lean further to the right politically

"I'm a millionaire! Suddenly I have an opinion on the capital gains tax." - Leela, Futurama
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#16 Mar 31 2014 at 5:45 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
I believe the state strongly advises you get a financial planner and has several lined up to assist you but obviously they can't force you to take advantage or listen to them. But it's in the state's best interests that the lottery winner roster isn't a tale of broken dreams and new poverty so they'll at least go through the efforts of trying to hook you up. I'm speaking generally of course and your mileage may vary by state.


On the other hand, the high percentage of broken dreams hasn't really put a dent in the millions of people who spend money they could better spend elsewhere every week on the lotto anyway. So I'm not sure if the state really has a need to do anything to fix the problem (and presumably a whole lot of vested interest in keeping the stupid money rolling into their hands as long as it continues to do so on its own). Kinda banking on stupid, but I suppose in a cynical way you could say that about a lot of things.

Quote:
I don't have any strong opinions on the lottery itself and I'm another "play when the payout is huge and mainly just for the daydreams" player. Granted, I could daydream for free but playing maybe six times a year (if that) isn't enough of a financial hit for me to care if it's "smart" or not. I suppose it does condone some forms of gambling but that's only an issue if you don't condone the same. Personally, I don't care much about state regulated gaming either way.


I'm more or less the same. I only spend money on the super-duper lotto, and only when it's got a big jackpot (cause regularly spending money on a lottery that has zero chance of being sufficient to retire on is equivalent to just lighting your cash on fire). I also don't really have a position with regard to "OMG! It's gambling!". I don't normally have an issue with people's poor decisions costing them. I do just kinda wish that people would not be just so absolutely stupid with it. But that's more of a "losing faith in humanity" kind of thing, and not really worth tilting at (cause the world always seems to create new/better idiots).

Quote:
Aethien wrote:
I'm failing to find any concrete data except that winning lots of money makes people lean further to the right politically

"I'm a millionaire! Suddenly I have an opinion on the capital gains tax." - Leela, Futurama


It shouldn't be that surprising that people suddenly start caring about how we deal with personal wealth, once they have some of it. More correctly, people are far more willing to support a political agenda that takes money from those who have it and gives it in some form to those who don't, when they're in the latter group. I'm not sure if that's just a broad tale of personal greed all the way around *or* a sad statement on the degree to which people have given up on the American Dream(tm) though. Maybe just people not thinking things all the way through?
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#17 Mar 31 2014 at 6:29 PM Rating: Excellent
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gbaji wrote:
On the other hand, the high percentage of broken dreams hasn't really put a dent in the millions of people who spend money they could better spend elsewhere every week on the lotto anyway. So I'm not sure if the state really has a need to do anything to fix the problem (and presumably a whole lot of vested interest in keeping the stupid money rolling into their hands as long as it continues to do so on its own).

I assume the state does as much as it needs to do to maintain a degree of plausible effort in the face of potential criticism and to let everyone involved sleep at night.
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#18 Mar 31 2014 at 6:46 PM Rating: Decent
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Jophiel wrote:
gbaji wrote:
On the other hand, the high percentage of broken dreams hasn't really put a dent in the millions of people who spend money they could better spend elsewhere every week on the lotto anyway. So I'm not sure if the state really has a need to do anything to fix the problem (and presumably a whole lot of vested interest in keeping the stupid money rolling into their hands as long as it continues to do so on its own).

I assume the state does as much as it needs to do to maintain a degree of plausible effort in the face of potential criticism and to let everyone involved sleep at night.


Sounds about exactly right.
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#19 Apr 01 2014 at 6:12 AM Rating: Good
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gbaji wrote:


There's a part of me that dislikes the whole deal. Governments shouldn't take advantage of the people they're supposed to serve. But then on the other hand, if the alternative is "tax the rich/smart/successful more",,,,,.
Your big chance to make a rational humane statement about the size of government and what services it should and shouldn't be providing. Smiley: lol Better to bleed dry the the poor dumb slobs than expect your rich millionaire friends to help fund their government. Btw, have they trickled on you yet?

How about we (the people) don't exploit our poor misinformed masses but instead tax everyone equitably?


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#20 Apr 01 2014 at 7:11 AM Rating: Good
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The One and Only Poldaran wrote:
I buy it for the fantasy.
I do it to get rid of dimes and nickles.
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#21 Apr 01 2014 at 7:19 AM Rating: Good
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lolgaxe wrote:
The One and Only Poldaran wrote:
I buy it for the fantasy.
I do it to get rid of dimes and nickles.
I actually counted out 5 pennies from my dashboard stash to get to a buck-fifty for this mornings coffee purchase.

It's time to do something about pennies. They need to go away. Really we could be rid of nickles and dimes too.
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#22 Apr 01 2014 at 7:21 AM Rating: Excellent
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Personally, I don't see why folks chance loosing all of their money when they could be playing my lottery.
You give me "x" amount of dollars and I promise I'll always give you at least 10% of it back.
You "win " every time!

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#23 Apr 01 2014 at 10:18 AM Rating: Good
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CoalHeart wrote:
Personally, I don't see why folks chance loosing all of their money when they could be playing my lottery.
You give me "x" amount of dollars and I promise I'll always give you at least 10% of it back.
You "win " every time!
Fantasizing about getting a dime is kinda lame.
#24 Apr 01 2014 at 10:30 AM Rating: Excellent
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CoalHeart wrote:
Personally, I don't see why folks chance loosing all of their money when they could be playing my lottery.
You give me "x" amount of dollars and I promise I'll always give you at least 10% of it back.

If I play eleven times, I should get 110% back! Profit! Smiley: schooled
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#25 Apr 01 2014 at 6:22 PM Rating: Good
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Elinda wrote:
Still, it seems manipulative. The poor sole who will never see millions is offered up a fantasy - for only a buck. I'm guessing that the largest bulk of tickets are sold to the financially challenged masses. I doubt the Walton's are sitting around the family mansion scratching tickets and picking 'lucky' numbers.

Weren't the Waltons struggling through the depression as farmers or something?

Edit: Oops, wrong wrong Waltons Smiley: lolSmiley: blush

Edited, Apr 1st 2014 7:24pm by trickybeck
#26 Apr 02 2014 at 4:00 PM Rating: Decent
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Elinda wrote:
gbaji wrote:


There's a part of me that dislikes the whole deal. Governments shouldn't take advantage of the people they're supposed to serve. But then on the other hand, if the alternative is "tax the rich/smart/successful more",,,,,.
Your big chance to make a rational humane statement about the size of government and what services it should and shouldn't be providing. Smiley: lol Better to bleed dry the the poor dumb slobs than expect your rich millionaire friends to help fund their government. Btw, have they trickled on you yet?

How about we (the people) don't exploit our poor misinformed masses but instead tax everyone equitably?


Obviously, I'd rather we shrink the size of government, but while lotteries are effectively a tax on stupidity, no one forces anyone to buy a ticket. So on the whole "authority versus liberty" scale, it's far far better than the alternative.

It's not about rich versus poor. I know that's the narrative people want to focus on, but it's really about "willing versus unwilling".
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